Football / Preview / Other European Football 06 03 2010

Other European Football

Subscribe here for Game Notes from five televised Dutch, German and Italian matches including Roma v AC Milan.

Roma's Mirko Vucinic


Serie A: Fiorentina v Juventus (Sat, 17:00)

Over/Under (+2.5 goals): Six of Fiorentina’s last eight home matches have seen at least three goals as have four of their last five home fixtures when they have been on similar five-game home form (W5-D0-L0). 16 of Juventus’ last 28 (57%) away games have settled the +2.5 goals market as have 60% (12/20) of their matches at middle-third teams since 2007/08.


Bundesliga: Borussia Dortmund v Borussia M'gladbach (Sat, 17:30)

HT/FT (W/W): Dortmund have won six of their last eight home games with five W/Ws and have won 11 of their last 12 home matches against bottom-half teams with eight W/Ws. M’gladbach have lost seven of their last 11 away as well as 11 of their 13 trips to top-half teams since the start of last season with nine L/Ls. Since 2004/05, top-six teams hosting teams placed 10th-14th in the final eight home games of the season have won 67% (50/75) matches with 45% W/Ws.


Serie A: Roma v AC Milan (Sat, 19:45)

Over/Under (+2.5 goals): 59% (19/32) of Roma’s home matches since the start of last season have seen at least three scores as have all of their last seven games hosting fellow Big Four opposition (six +3.5 goals). Similarly, seven of AC Milan’s last eight games at Big Four teams have settled the +2.5 goals market. Stretching back to 2006/07, 65% (11/17) of all-Big Four affairs in the second half of the season have featured more than a brace of scores.


Eredivisie: Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax (Sun, 11:30)

Match outcome (Lay Away Win): Sparta Rotterdam are undefeated in four home matches, although it should be noted each of the games were against inferior opposition than Ajax. Since 2006/07, the hosts have gone W2-D2-L3 at home to either of the Big Two. Although Ajax have been brilliant at home this term, they have struggled slightly on the road; winning just two of their last six such games. Moreover, stretching back to the start of last season, they have been successful in just 48% (14/29) of their away fixtures. Over a longer period, they have won only a third (4/12) of their trips to bottom-six clubs.


Serie A: Inter Milan v Genoa (Sun, 19:45)

HT/FT (W/W): Inter Milan have won five of their last six home matches with five clean sheets and three W/Ws. Additionally, they have been successful in six of their last seven games hosting middle-third opposition with six victories by two clear goals and four W/Ws. Genoa have picked up only two points in their last eight on the road with four L/Ls. Further, they have seen L/Ls in seven of 11 winless trips to Big Four sides (W0-D2-L9).

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