Group A: Inter Milan (Bettorlogic rank 5) v FC Twente (34) (Weds, 19:45)

Inter Milan looked to be cruising to top-spot in Group A after their 4-3 win over Spurs at the San Siro, but after getting thrashed in the reverse fixture at White Hart Lane they are now in the precarious position of not qualifying for the knockout stage. If they lose here they would be pushed down into third position. The reigning holders are also struggling domestically – they are down in ninth, nine points behind leaders and arch-rivals AC Milan. Inter have a fantastic home record in this competition. Since 2005/06, they have won 12/17 home group games with seven W/W doubles and they have defeated the -1.5 goal handicap in all of their last three such matches. Twente are still finding their feet in their maiden Champions League campaign, but they have battled well so far. They won 2-0 at Werder Bremen last time out and they have lost just one of their four games. Interestingly, they have been level at half-time in all of the games. Italian teams have won 9/11 undefeated home games against Dutch opposition this century with six W/Ws.

Recommendation: No bet

Group A: Spurs (17) v Werder Bremen (32) (Weds, 19:45)

Spurs are joint-second top goal-scorers with Chelsea in the tournament so far (12) and the only team they trail are fierce-rivals Arsenal (15). Unfortunately, they have also conceded eight goals in their four games which has meant that each game has seen at least four scores. Werder Bremen have suffered a dreadful start to the season, both in this competition and in the Bundesliga. Domestically they have gained just 15 points from 13 games and sit 12th in the table. Further, only bottom-placed Borussia Monchengladbach have conceded more goals – 36 to Bremen’s 31. Bremen have won just 1/15 away Champions League games since 2005/06, but 10 of the games have seen at least three goals while three of their last four have had +3.5 goals.

Recommendation: +3.5 goals 2.38, Stan James

Group B: Hapoel Tel-Aviv (157) v Benfica (22) (Weds, 19:45)

Israeli side Hapoel Tel-Aviv gained their first-ever Champions League point in their goalless draw against Schalke last time out. The hosts have never previously qualified for this tournament and they were beaten by two clear goals in all of their opening three fixtures. The hosts will be boosted by the news that Benfica aren’t the best travellers. They have won just 1/11 away group games since 2005/06 which has included picking up just one point from their two trips to teams with a Bettorlogic rank of 51+. Generally, teams ranked outside the top-100 have a terrible record against sides placed 11-30 with no wins in 19 matches since 2005/06.

Recommendation: No bet

Group B: Schalke (42) v Lyon (12) (Weds, 19:45)

Schalke have won 5/8 home group matches since 2005/06 and all of their victories have been by two or more goals with four W/W doubles (three +3.5 goals), but they have won just 1/4 games hosting teams with a Bettorlogic rank of 1-20 in that sample. Lyon lost 4-3 in a thrilling match at Benfica last time out, but they can still qualify in top-spot with a victory here. The visitors have an admirable record of W11-D3-L3 in away group games since 2005/06 and eight of their victories have been W/W doubles. 12 (71%) of the games have seen at least three goals which includes four of their six games against teams ranked 21-61.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals 2.05, Bet365