Football / Preview / Bundesliga Serie A Football 13 03 2010

Bundesliga & Serie A Football

Subscribe here for Game Notes from five televised German & Italian matches this weekend including AC Milan v Chievo.

AC Milan's Marco Borriello celebrates with David Beckham and Alexandre Pato



Catania v Inter Milan (Fri, 19:45)

Home Win to nil: Catania have won just four of their 13 home matches this season. Additionally, they have gained only one point from their last five games hosting Big Four opposition, failing to score on the three occasions. Inter Milan have won 56% (18/32) of their away fixtures under Jose Mourinho and 11 of the victories have been to nil. Closer inspection shows that 12 of the wins have come at bottom-half sides (from 17 games).


Napoli v Fiorentina (Sat, 19:45)

Home Win: Napoli remain undefeated in 14 home games with seven victories. Additionally, the hosts have won four of eight unbeaten home matches against middle-third sides and 57% (13/23) of these fixtures since 2007/08. Fiorentina have been beaten in four of their last eight away fixtures and also in three of four winless trips to top-half non-Big Four teams.


Livorno v Roma (Sun, 14:00)

HT/FT D/L: Livorno have gained just one point from their last four home matches, but they have been tied at the interval in eight of their 14 such games this term. Roma are unbeaten in six on the road with three wins and they have been level at the break on five occasions. Similarly, they have drawn the first half of four of their last six games at bottom-six clubs (FT W4-D2-L0).


Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburg (Sun, 16:30)

-2.5 goals: Leverkusen lost for the first time last weekend and have won just one of their last five matches. They’ve had fewer than three goals in both home matches this season against teams currently in the top six and in seven of 12 matches hosting top-six finishers in the previous two seasons. Hamburg have had no more than a single goal in any of their last three matches and have had under 2.5 goals in eight of 13 trips to teams currently in the top six this season and top-six finishers in the previous two seasons.


Serie A: AC Milan v Chievo (Sun, 19:45)

HT/FT W/W: AC Milan have gained full-points from eight of their last 10 home fixtures and they have been leading at half-time in the same number of games. Further, they have recorded W/Ws in half (5/10) of their recent games hosting middle-third sides. Chievo have suffered defeat in four of their last six on the road, three of which were L/L doubles. Moreover, they have seen L/Ls in four of their last six games at Big Four teams.


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