Football / Preview / World Cup Saturday 10Th June

World Cup: Saturday 10th June

Uruguay face Germany in the consolation match, however there is more than just the third-place tag at place as Miroslav Klose bids for immortality.

Miroslav Klose

 

Uruguay (Bettorlogic Rank 6) v Germany (4) (Sat 19:30)

Just like in 1970, Uruguay and Germany have been eliminated at the semi-finals stage and will meet in the match nobody wants to be in. As in Mexico, Uruguay were beaten by a side that had won every match so far in the competition - Brazil went on to complete the first-ever perfect tournament in 1970 before repeating their feat again in 2002 - while Germany were beaten by the reigning European champions at the time Italy. The bad news for Uruguay is that they lost that consolation match 1-0.

While that match 40 years ago may not have been the most exciting, the last eight 3/4 play-offs have all featured at least three goals with five having four or more. What’s more, both teams have two players – Luis Suarez and Diego Forlan for Uruguay and Miroslav Klose and Thomas Muller for Germany – who still harbour ambitions of snatching the Golden Boot away from David Villa.

In fact five of the last eight World Cup consolation matches have had at least three goals by half-time with the first goal coming inside the first 15 minutes, and 6/10 have had most goals in the first half. In all finals consolation matches, this history of goals is repeated with 27/40 since 1970 seeing at least three goals and 18 seeing four or more.

As far as the match outcome goes, the likely result heavily favours the Germans with the higher ranked side winning seven of the 10 consolation matches at the World Cup since 1970 with just one draw and four W/Ws. This low number of draws is repeated elsewhere, with just seven in 40 finals consolation games since 1970 and there should be a result in 90 minutes.

Also teams ranked 1-5 have won three of four unbeaten consolation matches in all finals against teams ranked 6-10 and the higher ranked side has scored at least twice in seven of the last eight World Cup consolation games.

Recommendations: Germany to win at 1.81, Betfair
                                     Over 3.0 goals at 2.20, Bet365

 
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