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Football / Preview / Euro 2012 Qualifiers

Euro 2012 Qualifiers

Bettorlogic preview all 22 of Tuesday's Euro 2012 qualifiers, including England's home tie against Montenegro.

England captain Steven Gerrard

 

Armenia (119) v Andorra (185)

Armenia upset Slovakia at the weekend and have performed well at home following a home qualifying win in recent years with a draw against Portugal and a 2-1 defeat in their last two home qualifiers following a home win.

Andorra have lost 27 consecutive qualifiers including 16 consecutive L/Ls on the road, of which four were against teams ranked 76+.

Recommendation: No Bet


Azerbaijan (121) v Turkey (28)

Azerbaijan have taken just two points from their last nine home qualifiers and they’ve lost four of their last six such matches against teams ranked 21-50 with three defeats by two or more goals. Five of the last seven Azerbaijan home qualifiers against teams ranked 21-50 have had +2.5 goals.

Turkey have had +2.5 goals in half their last 12 away qualifiers and in 5/8 trips to teams ranked 101+. Turkey are unbeaten in away qualifiers against teams ranked 101+ since 1998, with seven wins from 11 matches including seven wins to-nil.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals at 1.94, Betfair


Faroe Islands (144) v N Ireland (49)

The Faroe Islands have conceded 10 goals in their last two qualifiers but are generally a more solid outfit at home where they’ve conceded three or more goals in just 2/11 home qualifiers. However, they’ve lost 13/15 home qualifiers with 12 defeats to-nil and nine -2.5 goal games.

Northern Ireland have kept six clean sheets in nine qualifiers after holding Italy to a goalless draw at the weekend. Moreover, they’ve won to-nil in 4/8 away qualifiers against teams ranked 101+, with six clean sheets in those matches.

Recommendation: Northern Ireland to win to-nil at 2.0, 888 Sport


Finland (54) v Hungary (60)

Finland have won four of their last five qualifiers following defeats in their preceding two qualifiers. Furthermore, they’ve won six of their last nine home qualifiers and 4/6 such matches against teams ranked 41-80 since 2000. There has been +2.5 goals in 6/8 Finland home qualifiers and in 3/6 games hosting teams ranked 41-80.

Hungary have lost 8/11 away qualifiers and have had +2.5 goals in 7/12 road qualifiers since 2008. Furthermore, they’ve lost three of their five trips to teams ranked 26-75 since 2006.

Recommendation: Finland win at 2.35, Unibet


Kazakhstan (128) v Germany (3)

Kazakhstan have lost all seven of their home qualifiers against top-30 sides but have been level at half-time in four and have had most goals in the second half in four. Furthermore 10 of their last 17 qualifiers have had most goals in the second half as have nine of their last 17 at home.

Germany have won all five of their away qualifiers against teams ranked 101+ since 2000 and in their last eight qualifiers against teams of this rank six have had most goals in the second period.

Recommendation: Highest scoring half = 2nd at 2.15, William Hill


Latvia (72) v Georgia (97)

Latvia have won 4/8 home qualifiers as well as their last six such matches when hosting lower ranked opposition. Moreover, they’ve won all three of their home qualifiers against teams ranked 76-150 since 2008, and each of the last five such matches have had +2.5 goals.

Georgia drew in Greece in their opening away qualifier but that is their only point in their last 11 away qualifying matches and they’ve lost their last seven trips to teams ranked 51-100, with six of those matches featuring at least three goals.

Recommendation: Latvia to win at 2.32, Betfair


Belarus (55) v Albania (82)

There has been just one goal in Belarus’ opening three qualifiers, although eight of their 12 home qualifiers since 2008 have featured at least three goals. Since 2006 Belarus have won just 1/5 home qualifiers against teams ranked 51-100 and they’ve won just 4/16 home qualifying matches against all nations.

Albania are been a pretty solid defensive team in the past couple of years and have lost just 5/12 away qualifiers back to the 2008 Euro qualifying campaign, including one defeat in five trips to teams ranked 41-80.

Recommendation: Lay Belarus to win at 1.7, Betfair


Liechtenstein (156) v Czech Republic (30)

Liechtenstein have lost 7/10 home qualifiers, all of which have been lost to-nil, as six of those matches have had -2.5 goals. Moreover, while they’ve lost 5/6 home qualifiers against teams ranked 11-50 since 2002; they’ve been beaten by more than one goal just twice.

The Czech Republic got a narrow win over Scotland in their last qualifier but have now been level at half-time in 8/9 qualifiers including being goalless in seven. Furthermore, they’ve been goalless at half-time in 6/10 away qualifiers since 2008 and half their eight trips to teams ranked 101+ since 2000 have finished with fewer than three goals, with seven having -3.5 goals.

Recommendation: -2.5 goals at 2.65, Unibet


Denmark (32) v Cyprus (67)

Denmark lost back-to-back qualifiers at the weekend for the first time in over 20 years. However, they’ve won 6/10 home qualifiers with five W/Ws as seven of the matches have finished with +2.5 goals. Furthermore, they’ve had W/Ws in 4/7 home qualifiers against teams ranked 51-100 with five +2.5 goal matches.

Cyprus have lost 7/12 away qualifiers since 2008, with six L/Ls. Moreover, they’ve 5/6 away qualifiers against teams ranked 21-50 since 2000 with four L/Ls, although the last four all had -2.5 goals and overall they are an improving team.

Recommendation: No Bet


Estonia (96) v Slovenia (31)

Estonia have won three of their last four qualifiers, including 3-1 at Serbia last weekend. However, they’ve lost 6/9 home qualifiers without winning against teams ranked 21-50 since 2000, as they’ve scored just twice with eight of the matches finishing with -2.5 goals and five -1.5.

Slovenia have won just 3/14 away qualifiers but have been an improving side throughout that time, although since 2004 they’ve also failed to win away at a side ranked 51-100, with three defeats in six road qualifiers. Similarly to Estonia Slovenia have a longer term trend for under-goals but have been weaker defensively in their last few games.

Recommendation: No Bet


FYR Macedonia (78) v Russia (19)

Macedonia have lost just 1/8 home qualifiers while keeping five clean sheets and since 2006 they’ve lost only half their six home qualifiers against teams ranked inside the top 30, with all three defeats against teams in the top six, as five of their last six such matches have had -2.5 goals.

Russia have an excellent recent away record, with six wins in their last nine road qualifiers. However, they’ve won only half their eight trips to teams ranked 51-100 since 2004, with seven of the eight matches featuring fewer than three goals.

Recommendation: Lay Russia to win at 1.69, Betfair


Netherlands (2) v Sweden (18)

The Netherlands have won 11 straight qualifiers, including eight W/Ws, and they’ve won 22 of 25 unbeaten qualifiers at home including 20 wins to-nil, 19 wins by two or more goals and 20 W/Ws.

Sweden owns the other 100% record in this group having won their opening two games, both at home. However, they won just two of six away games in their last qualifying campaign as they struggled to score. Moreover, Sweden have failed to score in their last five qualifiers against top 20 ranked sides, with three defeats to and two L/Ls.

Recommendation: Netherlands to win to nil at 2.6, Bet 365


San Marino (191) v Moldova (112)

San Marino have lost 46 consecutive qualifiers and have been beaten by three-clear goals in each of their last 11. However, while they’ve lost all eight home qualifiers they’ve played since 2000 against teams ranked 61-150, just one of their defeats were by more than two goals and six were by exactly one.

Moldova have lost four consecutive away qualifiers and have won just one of their three trips to teams ranked 130+ since 2002 and that was by just a single goal.

Recommendation: No Bet


Slovakia (35) v Ireland (26)

Slovakia have had +2.5 goals in 10/12 home qualifiers since 2008 including in 4/5 hosting teams ranked 11-50. Of these five matches they’ve won just once whilst losing twice and conceding 10 goals.

Ireland are unbeaten in eight away qualifiers with four wins and they’ve had +2.5 goals in half their last 12 road qualifiers. Since 2004 they’ve drawn 4/6 trips to teams ranked 21-50 with both teams scoring in five of the matches.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals at 2.5, Betfair


Switzerland (16) v Wales (80)

Switzerland have had -2.5 goals in 8/11 home qualifiers and they’ve been level at half-time in eight of those matches. Furthermore, since 2006, they’ve been level at half-time and had -2.5 goals in 4/5 home qualifiers against teams ranked 41-120.

Wales have had -2.5 goals in four of their last five away qualifiers with three of those matches finishing with just one goal. Furthermore, they’ve been goalless at half-time in half their last eight trips to teams ranked 11-50 as five of the matches have finished with -2.5 goals.

Recommendation: Half-time Draw at 2.05, Sporting Bet


Belgium (73) v Austria (53)

Both teams have scored in half Belgium’s last 10 home qualifiers and in three of their four home qualifiers against teams ranked 41-75 since 2006.

Austria have won both their matches so far in this group but have won just 1/13 away qualifiers including none of their last eight. However, both teams have score in six of their last 11 away qualifiers and in half their last six trips to teams ranked 41-100.

Recommendation: No Bet


Greece (38) v Israel (43)

There has been a total of four goals in Greece’s last five qualifiers as they’ve been goalless at half-time in three, including in two of their last three home matches. Furthermore, they’ve been level at half-time in 6/11 home qualifiers against teams ranked between 20 places below and 20 places above them.

Israel’s last two away qualifiers have been goalless and they’ve been level at half-time in 10 of their 17 away qualifiers since 2006. Furthermore they’ve finished all-square in six of their last 10 away qualifiers against teams ranked 21-60.

Recommendation: No Bet


Italy (11) v Serbia (27)

Italy are unbeaten in 25 home qualifiers with 21 wins including 15 wins to-nil and they’ve won 5/6 home qualifiers against teams ranked 21-50 including four by two-clear goals and four to-nil. Also, four of these six matches finished with -2.5 goals.

Serbia have failed to win either of their first two home games in this group after being upset by Estonia but have a pretty good record on the road, with just one defeat in five away qualifiers against top-20 teams since 2002.

Recommendation: No Bet


England (9) v Montenegro (66)

England have won 18/20 home qualifiers with 13 wins to-nil and 14 by two or more goals. Moreover, they’ve won 5/6 home qualifiers against teams ranked 41-100 since 2006, with all those wins coming to-nil and four seeing them lead 1-0 at half-time.

Montenegro have lost three of their last five qualifiers against top 35 ranked sides including L/Ls in both their matches against top 10 teams.

Recommendation: No Bet


France (33) v Luxembourg (169)

France have been goalless at half-time in 8/12 home qualifiers as they’ve had most goals in the second half in nine of those matches. Furthermore, while they’ve had W/Ws in their four qualifiers since 2008 against teams ranked 101+ three of them have had most goals in the second half. France have had -3.5 goals in 10/12 home qualifying games.

Luxembourg have lost 7/8 away qualifiers against teams ranked 11-50 since 2004 with seven L/Ls, although just three of the matches have had more than three goals. Furthermore, just one of their last 12 away qualifiers has finished with +3.5 goals.

Recommendation: -3.5 goals at 2.0, Extrabet


Scotland (47) v Spain (1)

Scotland’s recent home record is pretty good as they’ve won eight of their last 11 home qualifiers. While they’ve lost their last two home games against top 10 ranked sides, those are their only defeats in six such home qualifiers since 2002 as five of the matches have finished with -2.5 goals.

Spain have won 16 consecutive qualifiers including seven in a row away. All those seven matches have had +2.5 goals, as have half their last six trips to teams ranked 31-75 as they’ve been level at half-time on four occasions.

Recommendation: No Bet


Iceland (104) v Portugal (7)

Iceland have won just 3/17 home qualifiers whilst losing nine times as 11 of the matches had +2.5 goals. Moreover, they’ve lost 5/6 home qualifiers against teams ranked 1-20 with three L/Ls and three defeats by two-clear goals.

Portugal have won 7/11 away qualifiers, although just two were by more than a single goal as eight of the matches had -2.5 goals. Moreover, while they’ve won five of six away qualifiers against teams ranked 76-150 since 2006 just two of those wins were by two-clear goals.

Recommendation: No Bet
 

 
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