In total we made eight Outright fixed odds recommendations which finished 2.35 points down. One particular annoyance was David Villa splitting the Golden Shoe award four-ways despite trading at 1.70 on Betfair. As a result our original call returned at 2.25 instead of 9.00.
We also made three very successful pre-tournament spread recommendations in the Total Team Goals markets. England's dismal showing ensured a 7.3 point profit after they scored just three goals in their four World Cup matches while the Netherlands and Germany both reached the semi-final which ensured they played the maximum number of games in the tournament to give our two Buy recommendations the greatest chance of success.
Finally, we made at least one recommendation (76 in total) in each of the 64 individual matches which ended 3.11 points down. Interestingly, we were well in profit from the quarter-final stage onwards when more was known about the make-up of the teams involved. We will take this on board for further tournaments.
Fixed odds
Day |
Team 1 |
Team 2 |
Market |
Call |
Odds |
Result |
Stake |
1 |
South Africa |
Mexico |
Match outcome |
T1 Win |
2.62 |
L |
1 |
1 |
Uruguay |
France |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
2 |
Korea Republic |
Greece |
Over/Under |
-2.0 gls |
1.98 |
P |
1 |
2 |
Argentina |
Nigeria |
Asian handicap |
T1 -1.5 |
2.15 |
L |
1 |
2 |
England |
USA |
HT/FT |
W/W |
2.38 |
L |
1 |
3 |
Algeria |
Slovenia |
DNB |
T1 Win |
2.45 |
L |
1 |
3 |
Serbia |
Ghana |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
3.30 |
L |
1 |
3 |
Germany |
Australia |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
2.62 |
W |
1 |
4 |
Netherlands |
Denmark |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
2.50 |
W |
1 |
4 |
Japan |
Cameroon |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.10 |
L |
1 |
4 |
Italy |
Paraguay |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.30 |
W |
1 |
5 |
New Zealand |
Slovakia |
Asian handicap |
T2 -1.5 |
2.30 |
L |
1 |
5 |
Ivory Coast |
Portugal |
Match outcome |
T2 Win |
2.25 |
L |
1 |
5 |
Brazil |
Korea DPR |
Asian handicap |
T1 -2.5 |
2.08 |
L |
1 |
6 |
Honduras |
Chile |
Over/Under |
+2.5 gls |
2.10 |
L |
1 |
6 |
Spain |
Switzerland |
Asian handicap |
T1 -1.5 |
1.98 |
L |
1 |
6 |
South Africa |
Uruguay |
Match outcome |
T2 Win |
2.40 |
W |
1 |
6 |
South Africa |
Uruguay |
HT score |
0-1 |
4.50 |
W |
1 |
7 |
Argentina |
Korea Republic |
Over/Under |
+3.5 gls |
3.75 |
W |
1 |
7 |
Nigeria |
Greece |
T2 Win to nil |
Yes |
8.00 |
L |
0.5 |
7 |
Nigeria |
Greece |
Match outcome |
Lay T1 |
2.02 |
W |
1 |
7 |
France |
Mexico |
Correct score |
0-0/1-1 |
3.80 |
L |
1 |
8 |
Germany |
Serbia |
HT/FT |
W/W |
2.62 |
L |
1 |
8 |
Slovenia |
USA |
DNB |
T1 Win |
2.75 |
P |
1 |
8 |
England |
Algeria |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
1.80 |
L |
1 |
9 |
Netherlands |
Japan |
Asian handicap |
T1 -1.5 |
2.25 |
L |
1 |
9 |
Ghana |
Australia |
Correct score |
1-0/2-0 |
4.80 |
L |
1 |
9 |
Cameroon |
Denmark |
Both teams to score |
Yes |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
10 |
Slovakia |
Paraguay |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.40 |
L |
1 |
10 |
Italy |
New Zealand |
Over/Under |
-2.5 gls |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
10 |
Brazil |
Ivory Coast |
H2 outcome |
T1 Win |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
10 |
Brazil |
Ivory Coast |
HT/FT |
D/W |
5.20 |
L |
1 |
11 |
Portugal |
Korea DPR |
Correct score |
1-0/2-0 |
3.00 |
L |
1 |
11 |
Chile |
Switzerland |
Match outcome |
T1 Win |
2.38 |
W |
1 |
11 |
Spain |
Honduras |
Correct score |
3-0/Any other |
2.35 |
L |
1 |
12 |
Mexico |
Uruguay |
Over/Under |
+2.5 gls |
3.55 |
L |
1 |
12 |
France |
South Africa |
Match outcome |
T1 Win |
2.05 |
L |
1 |
12 |
Nigeria |
Korea Republic |
Match outcome |
T2 Win |
2.63 |
L |
1 |
12 |
Argentina |
Greece |
Over/Under |
-2.5 gls |
1.90 |
W |
1 |
13 |
England |
Slovenia |
Over/Under |
+2.5 gls |
2.14 |
L |
1 |
13 |
USA |
Algeria |
Over/Under |
+2.5 gls |
2.32 |
L |
1 |
13 |
Australia |
Serbia |
Match outcome |
Lay T1 |
2.03 |
W |
1 |
13 |
Ghana |
Germany |
T2 Win to nil |
Yes |
2.60 |
W |
1 |
14 |
Paraguay |
New Zealand |
HT/FT |
W/W |
2.42 |
L |
1 |
14 |
Slovakia |
Italy |
Asian handicap |
T2 -1.5 |
2.50 |
L |
1 |
14 |
Cameroon |
Netherlands |
Match outcome |
Lay T2 |
2.10 |
L |
1 |
14 |
Denmark |
Japan |
Match outcome |
T1 Win |
2.25 |
L |
1 |
15 |
Korea DPR |
Ivory Coast |
Asian handicap |
T2 -1.25 |
1.95 |
W |
1 |
15 |
Portugal |
Brazil |
Asian handicap |
T1 +0.25 |
2.00 |
P/W |
1 |
15 |
Chile |
Spain |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.38 |
L |
1 |
15 |
Switzerland |
Honduras |
Over/Under |
-2.5 gls |
1.87 |
W |
1 |
16 |
Uruguay |
Korea Republic |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.45 |
L |
1 |
16 |
Uruguay |
Korea Republic |
Method of victory |
T1 in E/T |
12.00 |
L |
0.5 |
16 |
USA |
Ghana |
DNB |
T2 Win |
2.00 |
P |
1 |
17 |
England |
Germany |
To Qualify |
T2 |
2.00 |
W |
1 |
17 |
England |
Germany |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.10 |
L |
1 |
17 |
Argentina |
Mexico |
Asian handicap |
T2 +1 |
1.97 |
L |
1 |
18 |
Netherlands |
Slovakia |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
2.20 |
L |
1 |
18 |
Brazil |
Chile |
Over/Under |
+2.5 gls |
2.00 |
W |
1 |
19 |
Paraguay |
Japan |
T1 Win to nil |
Yes |
3.25 |
L |
1 |
19 |
Paraguay |
Japan |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.00 |
W |
1 |
19 |
Spain |
Portugal |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.30 |
L |
1 |
22 |
Netherlands |
Brazil |
Both teams to score |
Yes |
1.95 |
W |
1 |
22 |
Netherlands |
Brazil |
Correct score |
2-2 |
20.00 |
L |
0.5 |
22 |
Uruguay |
Ghana |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.25 |
W |
1 |
23 |
Germany |
Argentina |
DNB |
T1 Win |
2.38 |
W |
1 |
23 |
Germany |
Argentina |
Method of victory |
T1 Pens |
11.00 |
L |
0.5 |
23 |
Paraguay |
Spain |
Match outcome |
Lay T2 |
2.89 |
L |
1 |
25 |
Uruguay |
Netherlands |
Over/Under |
-2.5 gls |
1.63 |
L |
1 |
25 |
Uruguay |
Netherlands |
Match outcome |
Draw |
3.70 |
L |
1 |
26 |
Germany |
Spain |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
26 |
Germany |
Spain |
To Qualify |
T1 |
2.00 |
L |
1 |
30 |
Uruguay |
Germany |
Match outcome |
T2 Win |
1.81 |
W |
1 |
30 |
Uruguay |
Germany |
Over/Under |
+3.0 goals |
2.20 |
W |
1 |
31 |
Netherlands |
Spain |
HT outcome |
Draw |
2.10 |
W |
1 |
|
Argentina |
|
Tot Grp Gls |
7+ |
2.38 |
W |
1 |
|
Brazil |
|
WC winner |
Brazil |
5.00 |
L |
1 |
|
Germany |
|
Tournament Progress |
Semis |
3.40 |
W |
1 |
|
N/A |
|
Golden Shoe |
Villa |
2.25* |
W |
1 |
|
N/A |
|
Golden Shoe (E/W) |
van Persie |
17.00 |
L |
1 |
|
Mexico |
|
Group position |
1 |
4.60 |
L |
1 |
|
Brazil |
|
Group points |
9 |
3.50 |
L |
1 |
|
Uruguay |
|
Tournament Progress |
Final |
6.20 |
L |
1 |
|
Spain |
|
Tournament Progress |
Lay Final |
1.77 |
L |
1 |
Spreads
Team |
Market |
Buy/Sell |
Open |
Close |
Stake |
Points Up/Down |
Netherlands |
Team Goals |
Buy |
8.2 |
12 |
1.00 |
3.8 |
Germany |
Team Goals |
Buy |
7.6 |
17 |
1.00 |
9.4 |
England |
Team Goals |
Sell |
10.3 |
3 |
1.00 |
7.3 |