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World Cup Review

Our 84 fixed odds World Cup recommendations finished 5.46 points down while our three Spread calls ended 20.5 points up.

2010 World Cup winners Spain

 

In total we made eight Outright fixed odds recommendations which finished 2.35 points down. One particular annoyance was David Villa splitting the Golden Shoe award four-ways despite trading at 1.70 on Betfair. As a result our original call returned at 2.25 instead of 9.00.

We also made three very successful pre-tournament spread recommendations in the Total Team Goals markets. England's dismal showing ensured a 7.3 point profit after they scored just three goals in their four World Cup matches while the Netherlands and Germany both reached the semi-final which ensured they played the maximum number of games in the tournament to give our two Buy recommendations the greatest chance of success.

Finally, we made at least one recommendation (76 in total) in each of the 64 individual matches which ended 3.11 points down. Interestingly, we were well in profit from the quarter-final stage onwards when more was known about the make-up of the teams involved. We will take this on board for further tournaments.

 

Fixed odds

Day Team 1 Team 2 Market Call Odds Result Stake
1 South Africa Mexico Match outcome T1 Win 2.62 L 1
1 Uruguay France HT outcome Draw 2.10 W 1
2 Korea Republic Greece Over/Under -2.0 gls 1.98 P 1
2 Argentina Nigeria Asian handicap T1 -1.5 2.15 L 1
2 England USA HT/FT W/W 2.38 L 1
3 Algeria Slovenia DNB T1 Win 2.45 L 1
3 Serbia Ghana T1 Win to nil Yes 3.30 L 1
3 Germany Australia T1 Win to nil Yes 2.62 W 1
4 Netherlands Denmark T1 Win to nil Yes 2.50 W 1
4 Japan Cameroon HT outcome Draw 2.10 L 1
4 Italy Paraguay Match outcome Draw 3.30 W 1
5 New Zealand Slovakia Asian handicap T2 -1.5 2.30 L 1
5 Ivory Coast Portugal Match outcome T2 Win 2.25 L 1
5 Brazil Korea DPR Asian handicap T1 -2.5 2.08 L 1
6 Honduras Chile Over/Under +2.5 gls 2.10 L 1
6 Spain Switzerland Asian handicap T1 -1.5 1.98 L 1
6 South Africa Uruguay Match outcome T2 Win 2.40 W 1
6 South Africa Uruguay HT score 0-1 4.50 W 1
7 Argentina Korea Republic Over/Under +3.5 gls 3.75 W 1
7 Nigeria Greece T2 Win to nil Yes 8.00 L 0.5
7 Nigeria Greece Match outcome Lay T1 2.02 W 1
7 France Mexico Correct score 0-0/1-1 3.80 L 1
8 Germany Serbia HT/FT W/W 2.62 L 1
8 Slovenia USA DNB T1 Win 2.75 P 1
8 England Algeria T1 Win to nil Yes 1.80 L 1
9 Netherlands Japan Asian handicap T1 -1.5 2.25 L 1
9 Ghana Australia Correct score 1-0/2-0 4.80 L 1
9 Cameroon Denmark Both teams to score Yes 2.10 W 1
10 Slovakia Paraguay Match outcome Draw 3.40 L 1
10 Italy New Zealand Over/Under -2.5 gls 2.10 W 1
10 Brazil Ivory Coast H2 outcome T1 Win 2.10 W 1
10 Brazil Ivory Coast HT/FT D/W 5.20 L 1
11 Portugal Korea DPR Correct score 1-0/2-0 3.00 L 1
11 Chile Switzerland Match outcome T1 Win 2.38 W 1
11 Spain Honduras Correct score 3-0/Any other 2.35 L 1
12 Mexico Uruguay Over/Under +2.5 gls 3.55 L 1
12 France South Africa Match outcome T1 Win 2.05 L 1
12 Nigeria Korea Republic Match outcome T2 Win 2.63 L 1
12 Argentina Greece Over/Under -2.5 gls 1.90 W 1
13 England Slovenia Over/Under +2.5 gls 2.14 L 1
13 USA Algeria Over/Under +2.5 gls 2.32 L 1
13 Australia Serbia Match outcome Lay T1 2.03 W 1
13 Ghana Germany T2 Win to nil Yes 2.60 W 1
14 Paraguay New Zealand HT/FT W/W 2.42 L 1
14 Slovakia Italy Asian handicap T2 -1.5 2.50 L 1
14 Cameroon Netherlands Match outcome Lay T2 2.10 L 1
14 Denmark Japan Match outcome T1 Win 2.25 L 1
15 Korea DPR Ivory Coast Asian handicap T2 -1.25 1.95 W 1
15 Portugal Brazil Asian handicap T1 +0.25 2.00 P/W 1
15 Chile Spain HT outcome Draw 2.38 L 1
15 Switzerland Honduras Over/Under -2.5 gls 1.87 W 1
16 Uruguay Korea Republic Match outcome Draw 3.45 L 1
16 Uruguay Korea Republic Method of victory T1 in E/T 12.00 L 0.5
16 USA Ghana DNB T2 Win 2.00 P 1
17 England Germany To Qualify T2 2.00 W 1
17 England Germany HT outcome Draw 2.10 L 1
17 Argentina Mexico Asian handicap T2 +1 1.97 L 1
18 Netherlands Slovakia T1 Win to nil Yes 2.20 L 1
18 Brazil Chile Over/Under +2.5 gls 2.00 W 1
19 Paraguay Japan T1 Win to nil Yes 3.25 L 1
19 Paraguay Japan HT outcome Draw 2.00 W 1
19 Spain Portugal Match outcome Draw 3.30 L 1
22 Netherlands Brazil Both teams to score Yes 1.95 W 1
22 Netherlands Brazil Correct score 2-2 20.00 L 0.5
22 Uruguay Ghana Match outcome Draw 3.25 W 1
23 Germany Argentina DNB T1 Win 2.38 W 1
23 Germany Argentina Method of victory T1 Pens 11.00 L 0.5
23 Paraguay Spain Match outcome Lay T2 2.89 L 1
25 Uruguay Netherlands Over/Under -2.5 gls 1.63 L 1
25 Uruguay Netherlands Match outcome Draw 3.70 L 1
26 Germany Spain HT outcome Draw 2.10 W 1
26 Germany Spain To Qualify T1 2.00 L 1
30 Uruguay Germany Match outcome T2 Win 1.81 W 1
30 Uruguay Germany Over/Under +3.0 goals 2.20 W 1
31 Netherlands Spain HT outcome Draw 2.10 W 1
  Argentina   Tot Grp Gls 7+ 2.38 W 1
  Brazil   WC winner Brazil 5.00 L 1
  Germany   Tournament Progress Semis 3.40 W 1
  N/A   Golden Shoe Villa 2.25* W 1
  N/A   Golden Shoe (E/W) van Persie 17.00 L 1
  Mexico   Group position 1 4.60 L 1
  Brazil   Group points 9 3.50 L 1
  Uruguay   Tournament Progress Final 6.20 L 1
  Spain   Tournament Progress Lay Final 1.77 L 1

Spreads

Team Market Buy/Sell Open Close Stake Points Up/Down
Netherlands Team Goals Buy 8.2 12 1.00 3.8
Germany Team Goals Buy 7.6 17 1.00 9.4
England Team Goals Sell 10.3 3 1.00 7.3
 
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