Football / Preview / Topline 24 04 2010

Topline (24/04/2010)

This week's Topline contains eight recommendations and includes a call on Newcastle's final home match of the season.

Newcastle's Kevin Nolan

 

 

Bundesliga: VfL Bochum v VfB Stuttgart (Fri, 19:30) - Result: 0-2

Over/Under: 63% (20/32) of VfL Bochum’s home matches since the start of last season have seen at least three scores while 12 have featured four or more. Further, eight of their last 15 games hosting top-six opposition have settled the +3.5 goals market. 11 of Stuttgart’s 24 away fixtures since 2008/09 have seen more than three goals when they have conceded.

Recommendation: +3.5 goals 3.05, Betfair

 

 

Serie B: Cittadella v Mantova (Sat, 14:30) - Result: 6-0 (HT 4-0)

HT/FT: Cittadella are unbeaten in 11 home fixtures with seven victories and four W/Ws in their last five. The hosts have also won all of their last three home games against bottom-six sides. Mantova have gained just one point from their last seven away matches and they have trailed at the break in four of their last five games at top-six teams.

Recommendation: Cittadella W/W 2.88, Ladbrokes

 

Championship: Newcastle v Ipswich (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 2-2

Asian handicap: Newcastle have won nine of their last 10 home matches against middle-third teams including by two or more goals in seven, while Ipswich have won only four of their last 20 away matches and have scored first in only two of their last 10 away matches against top-six teams.

Recommendation: Newcastle Win -1.5 2.50, Coral

 

Championship: Middlesbrough v Coventry (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 1-1 (HT 0-0)

HT/FT: Middlesbrough have had W/W double results in seven of their last 10 home matches against bottom-half teams while Coventry have lost 12 of their last 20 away matches. Also, there have been -2.5 goals in eight of the last 10 Middlesbrough home matches against bottom-half teams and in seven of the last 10 Coventry away matches against top-half teams.

Recommendation: Middlesbrough W/W 2.75, Boyle Sports

 

League One: Norwich v Gillingham (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 2-0

Asian handicap: Norwich have won all of their last six home matches against bottom-six teams including winning by two or more goals in five, while Gillingham have lost five of their last six away matches against top-six teams. Also, there have been +2.5 goals in five of the last six Gillingham away matches against top-six teams.

Recommendation: Norwich Win -1.5 2.38, Blue Square

 

Premier League: Aston Villa v Birmingham (Sun, 12:00) - Result: 1-0

Over/Under: Aston Villa have won eight of 11 home matches since 2007/08 against teams in similar three-game away form to Birmingham (0 points) with five wins by two or more goals and seven of the 11 matches having +2.5 goals. Birmingham have lost six of their last seven away matches with their only win coming against Portsmouth and four of the defeats by two or more goals. Moreover, they’ve taken just one point from six away matches against top-half teams this season with all six having +2.5 goals.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals 2.00, Betfair

  

La Liga: Mallorca v Malaga (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 1-1

Asian handicap: Mallorca have won 17 of their last 20 home matches whilst Malaga have lost five of their last eight games at top-six opposition. There have been +2.5 goals in eight of the last 10 Mallorca home matches against bottom-six teams.

Recommendation: Mallorca Win -1.25 2.16, Bet365

 

Super Liga: Nacional v P. Ferreira (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 1-1

Match outcome: Nacional (Por) have won nine of their last 15 home fixtures against middle-third teams whilst P. Ferreira have lost 10 of their last 11 games at top-six sides. Seven of the hosts last 10 such games have featured no more than a brace of scores.

Recommendation: Nacional Win 2.00, Bet365

 

 

 

 
© Copyright 2018 Bettorlogic
/football/preview/topline--24-04-2010-