Football / Preview / Topline 17 04 2010

Topline (17/04/2010)

Following last week's excellent results, Topline returns with 16 recommendations including a call on the Fulham v Wolves fixture.

Fulham's Bobby Zamora

 

Super Lig: Istanbul BB v Genclerbirligi (Sat, 13:00) - Result: 1-3

Match outcome: There have been -2.5 goals in 14 of the last 20 Istanbul BB home matches while Genclerbirligi have lost 16 of their last 20 away matches against top-six teams. Also, Istanbul BB have trailed at half-time in only four of their last 20 home matches.

Recommendation: Istanbul Win 2.12, Betfair

 

Bundesliga: Stuttgart v Leverkusen (Sat, 14:30) - Result: 2-1

Over/Under: There have been +3.5 goals in five of the last 10 VfB Stuttgart home matches against top-six teams while there have been +2.5 goals in 14 of the last 20 Leverkusen away matches. Also, VfB Stuttgart have won 12 of their last 20 home matches.

Recommendation: Stuttgart Win 2.25, Skybet

Recommendation: +3.5 goals 2.98, Betfair

 

Serie B: Empoli v Padova (Sat, 14:30) - Result: 4-0 (HT 2-0)

HT/FT: Empoli have won by two or more goals in 12 of their last 20 home games and they have recorded W/W double results on 12 occasions. Padova have won only two of their last 17 away fixtures.

Recommendation: Empoli W/W 3.40, Ladbrokes

 

Premier League: Stoke v Bolton (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 1-2

Win to nil: Stoke have won six of their last eight home matches against bottom-half teams and have scored first in nine of their last 10 home matches against bottom-half teams, while Bolton have won just three and lost 13 of their last 20 away matches. 11 of Stoke’s last 13 home victories have been to nil.

Recommendation: Stoke Win to nil 3.40, Blue Square

 

Premier League: Fulham v Wolves (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 0-0

Match outcome: Fulham have won 14 and drawn just two of their last 20 home matches against bottom-half teams. Also, there have been +2.5 goals in four of the last six Wolves away matches against middle-third teams with +3.5 goals in three.

Recommendation: Fulham Win 2.20, Betfair

 

Premier League: Birmingham v Hull (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 0-0

Over/Under: Birmingham have won seven of their eight home games this season against teams now in the bottom half with half the matches having +2.5 goals, as have five of their last seven matches home and away. Hull have had +2.5 goals in seven of their last 10 away matches as they have conceded three or more goals on six occasions.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals 2.08, Betfair

 

League Two: Notts County v Morecambe (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 4-1 (HT 3-0)

HT/FT: Notts County have won 12 of their last 20 home matches and led at half-time in 13, while Morecambe have trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 away matches against top-six teams.

Recommendation: Notts County W/W 2.56, Betfair

 

Ligue 1: Valenciennes v Le Mans (Sat, 18:00) - Result: 0-1

Over/Under: Three of Valenciennes’ six home victories have seen at least three goals as have four of their last seven games hosting bottom-six sides (three +3.5 goals). Similarly, at least three goals have been scored in 62% (21/34) of Le Mans away fixtures since the start of last season (8/13 against middle-third teams).

Recommendation: +3.0 goals 3.65, Bet365

 

Ligue 1: Rennes v AS Nancy (Sat, 18:00) - Result: 0-0

Over/Under: +2.5 goals have been scored in four of Rennes’ last six home matches and in eight of their last 16 fixtures when they have previously been on similar five-game home form. 60% (9/15) of AS Nancy’s trips to top-half sides since the start of last season have seen more than a brace of scores. 

Recommendation: +2.5 goals 2.24, Betfair

 

La Liga: Villarreal v Atl. Madrid (Sat, 21:00) - Result: 2-1

Asian handicap: Villarreal have won 13 of their last 20 home matches. There have been +2.5 goals in seven of the last 10 Atl. Madrid games hosting top half non-Big Two sides while five of the fixtures have featured at least four scores.

Recommendation: Villarreal Win -0.75 2.12 Expekt

 

Serie A: Parma v Genoa (Sun, 14:00) - Result: 2-3

Match outcome: Parma have won four of their last six home matches against middle-third sides (6/6 -2.5 goals) whereas Genoa have lost six of their last 10 games at middle-third teams. Six of promoted Parma’s last seven home victories have been by either the 1-0 or 2-0 score lines.

Recommendation: Split Stakes: 0.50pt Parma Win 2.40 Expekt/Bwin
                                                            0.25pt Parma 1-0 10.0 Betfair
                                                            0.25pt Parma 2-0 14.5 Betfair

 

Segunda: Las Palmas v Real Union (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 2-1 (HT 1-1)

HT score: Las Palmas have been level at half-time in 12 of their last 20 home matches as have Real Union in seven of their last eight away matches against bottom-half teams. Also, there have been -2.5 goals in 15 of the last 20 Las Palmas home matches.

Recommendation: HT 0-0 2.70, Sportingbet (-0.5 first-half goals)

 

Bundesliga: Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha Berlin (Sun, 16:30) - Result: 2-2

Match outcome: Eintracht Frankfurt have won 11 of their last 18 home matches against bottom-six teams while Hertha Berlin have lost 12 of their last 20 away matches. Also, there have been +2.5 goals in nine of the last 10 E. Frankfurt home matches against bottom-six teams.

Recommendation: Eintracht Frankfurt Win 2.46, Betfair

 

La Liga: Ath. Bilbao v Real Zaragoza (Sun, 18:00) - Result: 0-0

HT/FT: Ath. Bilbao have recorded W/Ws in nine of their last 10 home matches against bottom-half teams whereas Real Zaragoza have conceded first in 13 of their last 16 away fixtures.

Recommendation: Ath. Bilbao W/W 3.00, William Hill/Bwin

 

La Liga: Mallorca v Osasuna (Mon, 20:00) - Result: 2-0

Asian handicap: Mallorca have won all of their last 11 home fixtures against middle-third teams (nine of their last 10 such victories have been by two clear goals) whereas Osasuna have lost 14 of their last 20 games at top-six sides.

Recommendation: Mallorca Win -1 2.11, Betfair

 



 

 
© Copyright 2018 Bettorlogic
/football/preview/topline--17-04-2010-