Football / Preview / Topline 08 05 2010

Topline (08/05/2010)

This week's Topline contains eight recommendations including three Premier League calls on the last day of the season.

Chelsea's Didier Drogba



Bundesliga: Wolfsburg v E. Frankfurt (Sat, 14:30) - Result: 3-1

Over/Under: There have been +3.5 goals in 15 of the last 20 Wolfsburg home matches (3/4 +4.5 goals) and +2.5 goals in all of the last 10 Wolfsburg home matches against top half non-Big Three teams. Also, E. Frankfurt have lost eight of their last 13 away matches against top half non-Big Three teams and trailed at half-time in six of the last 10 such matches.

Recommendation: +4.5 goals 3.45, Betfair


Serie B: Cittadella v Frosinone (Sat, 14:30) - Result: 0-1

HT/FT: Cittadella have been successful in 12 of their last 20 home matches while Frosinone have suffered defeat in 10 of their last 12 away fixtures against top-six opposition. The visitors have recorded L/L double results in six of their last 10 such games.

Recommendation: Cittadella W/W 2.60, Bodog


League One: Brentford v Hartlepool (Sat, 15:00) - Result: 0-0

HT/FT: Brentford have won six and lost none of their last nine home matches against bottom-half teams, while Hartlepool have lost all of their last eight away matches against top-half teams and have had L/L double results in eight of their last 10 away matches against top-half teams.

Recommendation: Brentford W/W 4.30, Bet365


Segunda: Villarreal B v Las Palmas (Sat, 17:00) - Result: 2-5

Over/Under: 7/10 Villarreal B home matches this season have seen +2.5 goals when they have conceded (six +3.5 goals) and Las Palmas have netted in 9/10 on the road (six +2.5 goals). The hosts have won 6/8 undefeated home fixtures against bottom-half sides this term with five +2.5 goals games.

Recommendation: +2.5 goals 2.25, Various


Serie A: Fiorentina v Siena (Sun, 14:00) - Result: 1-1

Over/Under: Fiorentina have won 18 of their last 20 home matches against bottom-six sides with 10 victories by two clear goals (13 +2.5 goals) whereas Siena have recorded L/Ls in 10 of their 18 away fixtures this term (13 +2.5 goals, eight +3.5 goals).

Recommendation: +3.5 goals 2.60, Bwin


Premier League: Chelsea v Wigan (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 8-0

Over/Under: Chelsea have won nine of their last 10 home matches against bottom-half teams with eight W/Ws (seven +3.5 goals, five +4.5 goals) while Wigan have conceded first in nine of their last 10 away matches against Big Four teams and have lost 17 of their last 19 away matches against Big Four teams.

Recommendation: +4.5 goals 3.60, Bwin


Premier League: Burnley v Spurs (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 4-2

HT/FT: Burnley have picked up just one point from six home matches with three L/Ls whereas Spurs have won 4/5 trips to current bottom-six teams this season with three W/Ws. The visitors have netted in 5/5 on the road with three victories.

Recommendation: Spurs W/W 2.45, Bwin


Premier League: Bolton v Birmingham (Sun, 16:00) - Result: 2-1

Over/Under: There have been +3.5 goals in 10 of the last 20 Bolton home matches while Birmingham have lost seven of their last eight away matches with six of eight having +2.5 goals. Also, Bolton have drawn just two of their last 11 home matches against middle-third teams.

Recommendation: +3.5 goals 3.40, Boyle Sports

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